Answer :
The probability that one die is a 3 is 0.167.
The concept of the conditional probability formula is one of the quintessential concepts in probability theory. The conditional probability formula gives the measure of the probability of an event, say B given that another event, say A has occurred.
The Bayes' theorem is used to determine the conditional probability of event A, given that event B has occurred, by knowing the conditional probability of event B, given that event A has occurred, also the individual probabilities of events A and B.
Note: In case P(B)=0, the conditional probability of P(A | B) is undefined. (the event B did not occur).
Number of ways to roll out two dice = 6 x 6 = 36
Let A be the event in which the sum of the two dice is 7.
∴ P(A) = 6/36
Let B be the event in which one die is 3.
∴ P(B) = 10/36
Let P(B∩A) be the event in which the sum of the dice is 7 and one die is 3.
P(B∩A) = 1/36
Applying the formula of conditional probability,
P (B|A) = P (A ∩ B)⁄P (A)
= 1/36 * 6/36 = 1/6 = 0.167
Thus, the probability that one die is a 3 is 0.167.
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