a manufacturing machine has a 5% defect rate. if 10 items are chosen at random, what is the probability that at least one will have a defect?



Answer :

The probability that at least one will have a defect if if 10 items are chosen at random is  0.65132.

binomial distribution is given as :

[tex]P(X=x) = (_{x} ^{n}) p^{x}q^{n-x} ; x = 0,1,2,3,........n\\q = 1 - p ;[/tex]

where

x = number of times for a specific outcome within n trials

{n  x}=      number of combinations

p = probability of success on a single trial

q = probability of failure on a single trial

n = number of trials

Let D be a random variable represents the number of defected items out of 10.

i.e., D(0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10)

probability that given items is defected is :

p = 0.1

q = 1 - p

q = 1 - 0.1 = 0.9

where

p = probability of defected items

q = probability of non-defective

then

D- bin(10,0.1)

P(D=0) = [tex]^{10} C_{0}{(0.1)^0}{(0.9)^{10}}[/tex]

[tex]= \frac{10!}{0!(10-0)!} * (0.9)^{10}[/tex]

= 0.3486784401

[tex]P(D\geq 1) = 1-P[/tex]

1 - = 0.3486784401

= 0.65132

The probability that at least one will have a defect if if 10 items are chosen at random is  0.65132.

To know more about distributive probability

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