we have a coin which, with equal odds, is either weighted so that heads has .75 probability, or weighted so that heads has .25 probability. we flip the coin twice and observe two heads. what is the conditional probability that the coin is weighted toward heads with .75 probability?



Answer :

The Conditional Probability that the coin is weighted towards heads is 0.25/0.75 . Conditional probability is the result of Bayes’ Theorem .

A coin is tossed twice . So, total outcomes are { HH , TH , HT, TT} that is 4 .

Probability= favourable outcomes / total outcomes

Probability of getting two heads = ¼ = 0.25

Favourable outcomes are { HH , HT, TH}

Probability of getting at least one head = ¾ = 0.75

Conditional probability is measure of the probability of an event occurring, given that another event has already occurred.

Formula , P(A|B) = P(A and B)/ P(B)

Here, p(A|B) is conditional probability of A given B

P(B) is probability of event B occur

P(A and B) is probability of both events A and B occur

We have to find conditional probability that coin is weighted towards heads and it is = Probability of getting both heads / probability of getting at least one head

= ¼ / ¾ = 0.25 / 0.75

Which is required result .

To learn more about Conditional Probability, refer :

https://brainly.com/question/11899923

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