nelyaguirre1711 nelyaguirre1711

10-01-2023
Mathematics

Answered

A new disease has been observed, and experts believe that 1% of the population have it. A test is developed that has 95% true positive rate (it identifies 95% of people with the disease as "positive") and 1% false positive rate (it misidenfies 1% of people without the disease as "positive"). If Alice tests positive and the experts are right on the population prevalence, what is the probability that Alice has the disease (up to 2 decimal places)?

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