a certain polygraph test accurately detects 80% of lies but incorrectly identifies 20% of lies as true statements. an employer conducts market research and finds that 95% of job applicants are truthful when asked about their employment history. if an applicant is found to have lied about his or her employment history, their candidacy for the position is immediately terminated. what is the probability that a job applicant's candidacy is terminated after being given a polygraph test given that they were honest about their employment history but failed the test?