Your employee is flying from Detroit to Phoenix with a stop in Atlanta. the flight from Detroit to Atlanta is on time 70% of the time while the flight from Atlanta to Phoenix is on time 80% of the time. What will your employee tend to conclude about the chances of arriving at Phoenix on time?
a) Neither overestimate nor underestimate the chances of arriving on time
b) Overestimate the chances of arriving on time
c) Underestimate the chances of arriving on time
d) Underestimate the changes of arriving at Atlanta on time and overestimate the chances of arriving at Phoenix on time